Chelsea's European Fate: A Blessing in Disguise for Xabi Alonso
The numbers are clear - Chelsea missing out on Europe would be perfect for Xabi Alonso
Image: Theathleticuk
As Chelsea approaches the end of the Premier League season, they face a crucial match against Sunderland that could determine their European fate. While a finish in the Europa League or Conference League is possible, having no European commitments next season might actually be beneficial for incoming manager Xabi Alonso, allowing for focused training and recovery time.
- 01Chelsea's most likely finishing position is eighth, with a 39.7% chance, according to Opta's supercomputer.
- 02Historically, clubs that missed European competition improved their league standings by an average of six spots and 19.7 points the following season.
- 03Chelsea has previously benefited from a lack of European commitments, winning the Premier League after finishing out of Europe in 2016-17.
- 04If Chelsea secures a Conference League spot, they could still improve their league position significantly, as seen with Tottenham and Chelsea in previous seasons.
- 05The Europa League has mixed results for 'Big Six' clubs, with Chelsea winning the tournament during their previous participations in 2012-13 and 2018-19.
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As the Premier League season nears its conclusion, Chelsea finds itself in a precarious position regarding European qualification. With a crucial match against Sunderland, Chelsea can secure at least eighth place, which could lead to a spot in the Europa League or the Conference League. However, incoming manager Xabi Alonso may actually prefer a season without European competition. Historical data shows that clubs missing out on Europe often see significant improvements in their league standings the following season, with an average gain of six places and 19.7 points. Chelsea's previous experiences of missing out on Europe in 2016-17 saw them rebound spectacularly to win the league. If Chelsea finishes eighth and enters the Conference League, they could still manage a successful league campaign, as evidenced by Tottenham's and Chelsea's past performances. While the Europa League presents a mixed bag of results, Alonso's track record suggests he can navigate either scenario effectively. Ultimately, a year without European distractions could provide the perfect opportunity for Alonso to establish his vision and potentially secure silverware.
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Chelsea's European fate will directly affect the club's strategy and player morale for the next season.
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