Kaupo Rosin, head of Estonia's Foreign Intelligence Service, has warned that Russian President Vladimir Putin is losing the ability to negotiate effectively in the ongoing war against Ukraine due to a combination of battlefield stalemate and economic difficulties. Over the next four to five months, Rosin believes that time is not on Russia's side, as the Kremlin faces significant military losses, with estimates of 15,000 to 20,000 soldiers killed each month. The situation has worsened, with Russian forces making minimal advances and suffering heavy casualties from drone warfare, which has become a dominant aspect of the conflict. Economically, Russia has downgraded its growth forecast from 1.3% to 0.4%, attributed to labor shortages and the impact of international sanctions. Rosin also highlighted that any potential mobilization of additional troops could provoke internal dissent, following a previous backlash against mobilization efforts. Furthermore, returning soldiers are reportedly bringing back social instability, contributing to crime and psychological issues within Russian society. Despite these pressures, Rosin suggests that Putin may continue to pursue his objectives through alternative means, indicating a complex and precarious situation for the Russian leadership.