Shankar Sharma Challenges Narratives on FII Outflows and Market Performance
FII outflows not driven by lack of AI and high taxes, says Shankar Sharma. Here’s why
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
Veteran investor Shankar Sharma argues that foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows from India are not primarily due to a lack of AI exposure or high taxes. Instead, he highlights that several non-AI-heavy markets have outperformed India, which has seen a significant decline in its market indices over the past year.
- 01Shankar Sharma disputes claims that FII outflows are due to a lack of AI exposure.
- 02Global markets like South Korea and Taiwan have outperformed India despite low AI presence.
- 03India's Nifty 50 and Sensex indices have declined by 12.1% and 14.5%, respectively, over the past year.
- 04The correlation between FII investment and market returns is weak, showing a coefficient of 0.15 since 1999.
- 05Historical data indicates that market performance is not solely dependent on foreign investment or taxation.
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Shankar Sharma, founder of First Global and GQuant Investech, challenges the prevailing narratives regarding foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows from India. He argues that claims attributing these outflows to a lack of artificial intelligence (AI) exposure or high taxation do not hold up against data. Notably, markets such as South Korea and Taiwan have shown remarkable one-year returns of 149.6% and 96.6%, respectively, despite having minimal AI ecosystems. In contrast, India's Nifty 50 index has declined by 12.1%, and the Sensex by 14.5%. Sharma emphasizes that India has historically performed well without being tech-heavy, suggesting that the absence of tech cannot be the sole reason for its current underperformance. Additionally, he points out a weak correlation of 0.15 between FII investment and market returns since 1999, indicating that both inflows and outflows have occurred during periods of positive market performance. This data-driven approach highlights that market success is not strictly linked to foreign investment or taxation policies.
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The insights from Sharma suggest that investors should not solely rely on AI exposure or tax policies when evaluating market opportunities in India. This could influence investment strategies and market perceptions.
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