ITC Shares Dip 2% Despite Q4 Profit Growth; Analysts Weigh In
ITC shares fall 2% after Q4 results. What Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and others are saying?
Image: The Economic Times
Shares of ITC, a leading cigarette manufacturer in India, fell 2% to ₹303 despite a 5% year-on-year rise in standalone net profit to ₹5,113 crore for Q4 FY26. Analysts from Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs express concerns over future cigarette volume growth due to recent tax hikes, while highlighting strong performance in the FMCG segment.
- 01ITC's revenue from operations increased 17% year-on-year to ₹21,695 crore for Q4 FY26.
- 02Morgan Stanley maintains an 'Equal-weight' rating with a target price of ₹346, citing ongoing challenges from cigarette tax hikes.
- 03Goldman Sachs expects cigarette volumes to decline by around 8% in FY27 due to the impact of tax increases.
- 04Nomura has a 'Reduce' rating with a lowered target price of ₹300, predicting a 5% decline in cigarette volumes for FY27.
- 05The FMCG segment showed robust growth, with a 15% increase in revenue, contributing positively to overall performance.
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ITC Limited, a major player in the Indian cigarette market, saw its shares decline 2% to ₹303 on the Bombay Stock Exchange following the announcement of its Q4 FY26 results. The company reported a 5% year-on-year increase in standalone net profit, reaching ₹5,113 crore, alongside a 17% rise in revenue from operations to ₹21,695 crore. The cigarette segment remained the primary profit driver, with revenues rising 32% year-on-year, despite concerns over future performance due to a recent tax hike. Analysts from major brokerages have mixed views on the stock's potential. Morgan Stanley maintains an 'Equal-weight' rating with a target price of ₹346, while Goldman Sachs retains a Neutral stance with a target of ₹330, anticipating an 8% decline in cigarette volumes for FY27. Nomura has a more pessimistic outlook, reducing its target price to ₹300 and projecting a 5% decline in cigarette volumes, citing the impact of tax increases on margins. Despite the challenges in the cigarette business, ITC's FMCG segment reported strong growth, contributing positively to the overall financial results.
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The decline in ITC's share price may affect investor confidence and could lead to changes in market strategies for stakeholders involved in the FMCG and cigarette sectors.
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