Philippines Likely to Miss Single-Digit Poverty Rate Target by 2028
PH to miss single-digit poverty rate goal

Image: Inquirer
The World Bank projects that the Philippines will not achieve its goal of reducing poverty to single-digit levels by the end of President Marcos' term, forecasting a decline to 12.3% by 2028. Economic shocks, particularly from the Middle East conflict, threaten to push millions back into poverty.
- 01The poverty rate is expected to decline to 12.3% by 2028, falling short of the government's target of 8.8-9%.
- 02Around 2 million Filipinos could fall back into poverty due to economic shocks from the Middle East conflict.
- 03Approximately 28% of Filipinos are vulnerable to falling back into poverty, while only 24% belong to the secure middle class.
- 04Many Filipinos remain in an 'emerging middle class' without economic security, largely due to low incomes and limited job prospects.
- 05The World Bank emphasizes the need for a reform agenda focused on growth, job creation, and social protection to achieve poverty reduction goals.
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The World Bank has indicated that the Philippines is unlikely to meet its goal of reducing poverty to single-digit levels by the end of President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.'s administration. The latest report forecasts a decline in the poverty rate from 15.5% in 2023 to 12.3% by 2028, which is still above the government's target of 8.8-9%. The report highlights that around 2 million Filipinos may fall into poverty due to economic shocks, particularly stemming from the recent conflict in the Middle East. Furthermore, 28% of the population remains vulnerable to poverty, while only 24% are considered part of the secure middle class. The World Bank attributes the persistent poverty levels to low incomes, inadequate job opportunities, and insufficient social protection systems. It calls for a reform agenda aimed at accelerating economic growth and job creation to achieve the long-term vision of a predominantly middle-class society under the Ambisyon Natin 2040 initiative.
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The projected rise in poverty could affect millions of Filipinos, leading to increased economic insecurity and limited access to essential services.
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