Stock Market Faces Correction Risks Amid Rising Oil Prices, Says Financial Expert
Expert view: Stock market may correct further if oil prices stay elevated, says Mangal Keshav Financial's Chairman
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Paresh Bhagat, Chief Investment Officer of Veer Growth Fund and Chairman of Mangal Keshav Financial Services, warns that elevated crude oil prices pose significant risks to the Indian stock market. He emphasizes the need for stable rupee values and improved foreign investment flows to sustain market recovery.
- 01Elevated crude oil prices are a major risk factor for the Indian stock market.
- 02The Indian market has recovered from panic but faces ongoing geopolitical uncertainties.
- 03Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have sold nearly ₹1.8 lakh crore ($19.69 billion) in Indian assets in FY26.
- 04A stable rupee and improved FII flows are crucial for sustaining market rallies.
- 05Long-term growth in India is contingent on oil prices stabilizing between $60–70.
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Paresh Bhagat, Chairman of Mangal Keshav Financial Services, highlights the risks posed by elevated crude oil prices to the Indian stock market. He notes that while the market has rebounded from panic, ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and high oil prices continue to cap investor confidence. The Nifty index showed resilience, ending largely unchanged on April 20, supported by strong domestic earnings and record inflows into equity mutual funds. However, Bhagat warns that sustained high oil prices could lead to inflationary pressures and affect India's macroeconomic stability. He emphasizes that for the market to maintain its rally, the rupee must remain stable, foreign institutional investor flows need to improve, and crude oil prices should cool off. Bhagat also points out that FIIs have sold approximately ₹1.8 lakh crore ($19.69 billion) worth of Indian assets in FY26, indicating deeper valuation concerns. He concludes that while India's long-term growth story remains intact, it is contingent upon stabilizing oil prices.
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The ongoing selling by foreign investors and high oil prices could lead to increased inflation and economic instability, affecting everyday consumers and investors.
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