A significant $79 million bet on Polymarket is centered on whether Strategy (MSTR) sold bitcoin by May 31, 2023, or if the subsequent public disclosure on June 1 counts as the defining factor. The dispute arises from Strategy's filing, which indicates that 32 bitcoins were sold between May 26 and May 31, but the formal disclosure occurred after the deadline. Bettors are split into three main camps: one believes the sale date is critical and should resolve 'Yes,' while another argues that only confirmed information available by the deadline should count, thus leading to a 'No' resolution. A third group claims the rules were too vague to make a clear decision at this time. Polymarket has clarified its stance, supporting the 'No' interpretation, which has led to a significant drop in the contract's 'Yes' pricing. The final decision will rest with UMA token holders, who have shown a tendency to diverge from Polymarket's judgments in the past. Meanwhile, bitcoin prices have fallen below $71,000 as the market reacts to Strategy's first disclosed sale.