Assocham Projects India's Economy to Grow Over 7% Despite High Oil Prices
India can grow above 7 pc even if crude oil costs USD 90-100/barrel: Assocham
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
The Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India (Assocham) reports that India's economy can maintain a growth rate above 7% annually, even with crude oil prices between $90 and $100 per barrel. This resilience is attributed to strong domestic consumption and effective management of energy costs.
- 01India's economy can grow over 7% annually despite high crude oil prices.
- 02The country has absorbed severe oil shocks while maintaining strong growth.
- 03In 2022-23, India's growth was 7.6% with oil prices averaging $93 per barrel.
- 04Assocham predicts continued growth above 7% supported by consumption and investment.
- 05Moody's and OECD have projected lower growth estimates due to geopolitical tensions.
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The Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India (Assocham) has stated that the Indian economy can sustain a growth rate exceeding 7% annually, even if crude oil prices rise to between $90 and $100 per barrel. This assertion highlights India's increasing resilience to high energy costs, as evidenced by its ability to maintain growth during periods of elevated oil prices. For instance, in 2022-23, India's economy grew by 7.6% despite an average oil price of $93 per barrel. Assocham's analysis indicates that India has historically recorded strong growth during times of moderate to high oil prices, with GDP growth remaining between 5.2% and 6.4% during the years 2011-14 when oil prices surpassed $100 per barrel. Looking ahead, Assocham anticipates that India's GDP growth will remain robust, supported by strong domestic consumption and capital investments. However, external factors, including geopolitical tensions and rising inflation risks, have prompted organizations like Moody's to revise India's growth estimates downward, projecting a growth rate of 6% for the current fiscal year.
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India's ability to sustain high growth despite rising oil prices could lead to increased consumer confidence and investment, benefiting various sectors of the economy.
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