Gold Prices Decline Amid Rising US Inflation and Rate-Hike Expectations
Gold Declines as Jump in US Inflation Lifts Rate-Hike Odds
Mint
Image: Mint
Gold prices fell for the second consecutive day, trading at approximately $4,695 per ounce, as US inflation surged, increasing the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. Despite this, demand from central banks remains strong, supporting gold's resilience in the market.
- 01Gold prices dropped to about $4,695 per ounce amid rising US inflation.
- 02The US consumer price index saw its largest increase since 2023, affecting wage growth.
- 03There is now over a 40% chance of a Federal Reserve rate hike by year-end.
- 04India raised gold import tariffs to 15%, impacting demand dynamics.
- 05Central bank purchases continue to support gold prices despite rising interest rate expectations.
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Gold prices experienced a decline for the second day, trading around $4,695 an ounce, following a significant rise in US inflation, which increased the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. The US consumer price index recorded its largest jump since 2023, contributing to a decline in real wages for the first time in three years. Market expectations now indicate over a 40% chance of a rate increase by the end of the year, up from nearly zero last month. As US yields rose, investors sought higher compensation for holding bonds due to persistent inflation driven by elevated energy prices. Despite these pressures, gold has shown resilience, a trend noted by Yuxuan Tang, Asia head of rates and FX strategy at JPMorgan Private Bank, who highlighted strong demand from central banks as a key factor supporting gold prices. In a related move, India, the second-largest gold consumer, raised its import tariffs on gold and silver from 6% to 15% to stabilize its currency and bolster foreign-exchange reserves. Spot gold was reported at $4,695.18 per ounce, with silver remaining stable at $86.47, up 17% this May. Meanwhile, platinum and palladium prices fell.
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The increase in gold import tariffs in India could lead to higher gold prices domestically, affecting consumers and jewelers.
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