Indian Rupee Falls to New Low Amidst Strong Dollar and Rising Oil Prices
Rupee slips past 96/$ amid stronger dollar, elevated crude oil prices
Business StandardImage: Business Standard
The Indian rupee fell past 96 per dollar, reaching a low of 96.14 due to a stronger US dollar and rising crude oil prices, which hit around $109 per barrel. The Reserve Bank of India intervened to stabilize the currency, but concerns over a widening trade deficit and inflation persist.
- 01The rupee settled at 95.97 per dollar after intervention by the Reserve Bank of India, down from 95.77 per dollar.
- 02Brent crude oil prices rose to approximately $109 per barrel, contributing to inflationary pressures.
- 03India's merchandise trade deficit widened to $28.38 billion in April, with imports increasing faster than exports.
- 04The rupee has depreciated by 6.35% in 2026, making it the worst-performing Asian currency this year.
- 05Market analysts suggest that the rupee could touch 100 per dollar if current trends continue.
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On Friday, the Indian rupee fell past the 96-per-dollar mark, hitting an intra-day low of 96.14 against the US dollar. This decline was driven by a stronger dollar, which rose to a 99.30 index level, and escalating crude oil prices, now around $109 per barrel. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) intervened, helping the rupee settle at 95.97 per dollar, compared to the previous close of 95.77. Concerns over India's widening trade deficit, which reached $28.38 billion in April, further pressured the currency. The rupee has depreciated 6.35% this year, making it the weakest currency in Asia. Analysts predict that if oil prices remain high, the benchmark 10-year government bond yield could rise towards 7.25%, impacting inflation and fiscal stability. The RBI's interventions are expected to continue, but without new triggers, the rupee may stabilize around 96-96.25 per dollar. The risk of it reaching 100 per dollar remains, highlighting ongoing economic vulnerabilities.
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The depreciation of the rupee could lead to higher import costs, affecting prices of essential goods like fuel and food, which may increase inflation.
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