India's Strategic Dilemma Amidst UAE-Saudi Rivalry
Opinion: Opinion | A New Gulf Divide Is Forming, And India Risks Getting Caught In The Middle
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Context
The geopolitical landscape in the Gulf region is shifting as the rivalry between the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia intensifies. This rivalry is impacting regional politics, particularly in relation to India, which has strong ties with both Gulf nations.
What The Author Says
The author argues that India risks being caught in the middle of the escalating rivalry between the UAE and Saudi Arabia, complicating its strategic interests in the region.
Key Arguments
📗 Facts
- India's exports to the UAE reached USD 37 billion in 2025-26, making it a crucial market.
- Approximately 4 million Indians live and work in the UAE, contributing to substantial remittances.
- Saudi Arabia is home to about 2.7 million Indians, with bilateral trade amounting to USD 41 billion.
📕 Opinions
- The author suggests that India's position in the Gulf is precarious due to the evolving dynamics between the UAE and Saudi Arabia.
- The author believes that Pakistan's growing influence in the Gulf complicates India's strategic interests.
Counterpoints
India can leverage its relationships with both nations.
India's strong economic ties with the UAE and Saudi Arabia may allow it to maintain a neutral stance and benefit from both.
The Gulf rivalry may not directly impact India.
As a non-Gulf nation, India's strategic interests might remain insulated from the internal rivalries of Gulf states.
India's historical ties with both nations can mitigate risks.
India has longstanding relationships with both the UAE and Saudi Arabia, which could help navigate the current tensions.
Bias Assessment
The author highlights India's vulnerabilities in the Gulf without fully exploring potential advantages.
Why This Matters
The ongoing tensions in the Gulf are significant as they affect energy security, regional stability, and India's strategic positioning amid competing interests.
🤔 Think About
- •How can India effectively balance its interests between the UAE and Saudi Arabia?
- •What strategies might India employ to mitigate risks from Gulf rivalries?
- •Could India's economic ties provide leverage in navigating Gulf politics?
- •What are the implications of Pakistan's role for India's security in the region?
Opens original article on Ndtv
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