AI Adoption Fuels Data Centre Demand, Creating Supply Shortage
AI-driven data centre demand far outstrips supply despite record hyperscaler spending: Jefferies
Image: The Economic Times
Global demand for data centres is significantly outpacing supply, driven by rapid AI adoption. Jefferies reports a projected capital expenditure of $770 billion by hyperscalers in 2026, while supply chain constraints hinder capacity delivery, resulting in a deficit of 12 GW in 2025.
- 01Hyperscaler capital expenditure is projected to reach $770 billion in 2026, a 74% increase from 2025.
- 02Demand for data centre capacity is expected to hit 21.1 GW in 2025, while only 8.9 GW became operational, resulting in a 12 GW deficit.
- 03AI-related power demand for data centres could reach 30 GW globally by 2026, with 19 GW expected in North America.
- 04Supply-side bottlenecks include shortages in labor, cooling equipment, and electrical components, limiting new data centre construction.
- 05Vacancy rates for data centres remain low, with rising leasing activity and rental rates benefiting operators and suppliers.
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According to a report by Jefferies, the global demand for data centres is significantly surpassing supply, leading to a structural shortage expected to persist due to accelerating artificial intelligence (AI) adoption. Despite major technology companies like Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Meta planning aggressive capital expenditures, supply chain constraints are hindering the delivery of sufficient data centre capacity. In 2025, demand is projected to reach nearly 21.1 GW, while only 8.9 GW of capacity is expected to become operational, creating a 12 GW shortfall. Jefferies estimates that hyperscaler capital expenditure will increase to $770 billion in 2026, nearly five times the $156 billion spent in 2023. The report also highlights that AI-driven power demand for data centres could reach 30 GW by 2026. However, multiple supply-side bottlenecks, including labor shortages and equipment constraints, are limiting the construction pace of new facilities. As a result, data centre operators and infrastructure developers are likely to benefit from the ongoing demand-supply gap, with low vacancy rates and rising rental rates across key markets.
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The ongoing data centre supply shortage is likely to affect technology infrastructure and services, leading to increased costs and delays for businesses relying on cloud services.
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