Jefferies Strategist Chris Wood Highlights India's Resilience Amid FPI Selling
Greed & Fear Report: India still attractive despite FPI selling? Jefferies’ Chris Wood explains why
Mint
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Despite significant foreign portfolio investment (FPI) outflows, Jefferies strategist Christopher Wood asserts that India remains structurally attractive due to strong domestic participation and robust midcap performance. The report reveals that while global investors shift towards AI-driven markets like Korea and Taiwan, domestic inflows are cushioning Indian equities.
- 01India's weighting in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index has dropped from 19.5% to 11.5% since last year.
- 02Foreign investors sold a net US$21.1 billion in Indian equities in 2026, exceeding last year's record outflow.
- 03The Nifty MidCap 100 Index has surged 19.2% since April 2, outperforming the Nifty 50's 34% rise this year.
- 04Domestic mutual fund inflows reached ₹500 billion in March, the highest in eight months.
- 05Jefferies forecasts a 13% growth in Nifty MidCap 100 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
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In its latest GREED & Fear report, Jefferies strategist Christopher Wood emphasizes that India, while facing significant foreign portfolio investment (FPI) outflows, remains an attractive market due to strong domestic participation. The report notes that India's weighting in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index has decreased from 19.5% to 11.5% since the start of last year, as global investors increasingly favor AI-driven markets like Korea and Taiwan. Foreign investors have sold a net US$21.1 billion in Indian equities in 2026, surpassing the previous year's record outflow of US$18.8 billion. Despite this, the Nifty MidCap 100 Index has shown resilience, rallying 19.2% from its April low and gaining nearly 97% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the Nifty 50's 34% increase. Domestic mutual fund inflows surged to ₹500 billion in March, bolstered by retail participation through Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs). Jefferies anticipates a 13% growth in earnings per share for the Nifty MidCap 100 in the current fiscal year, reinforcing the segment's attractiveness despite rising valuations.
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Strong domestic inflows are providing stability to Indian equities, which may help mitigate the effects of foreign selling on market sentiment.
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