India's Core Infrastructure Sector Sees 0.4% Contraction in March Amid West Asia Conflict
India's core sector contracts 0.4% in March, hurt by West Asia conflict
MintImage: Mint
In March 2026, India's core infrastructure sector contracted by 0.4%, marking its lowest point in nearly two years, primarily due to disruptions from the conflict in West Asia. This decline follows a 2.8% growth in February, with significant drops in energy-related outputs, particularly in the fertiliser sector, which fell by 24.6%.
- 01India's core infrastructure sector contracted by 0.4% in March 2026.
- 02The contraction contrasts sharply with a 2.8% growth in February.
- 03Fertiliser production saw the largest decline at 24.6% year-on-year.
- 04Steel and cement outputs grew by 2.2% and 4% respectively.
- 05ICRA projects IIP growth to slow to 1.0-2.0% in March 2026.
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India's core infrastructure sector faced a 0.4% contraction in March 2026, the lowest level in nearly two years, reversing the previous month's growth of 2.8%. This downturn is largely attributed to the ongoing conflict in West Asia, which disrupted supply chains and significantly impacted energy-related industries. Notably, crude oil production fell by 5.7%, coal output declined by 4%, and electricity generation dipped by 0.5%. The fertiliser sector was hit hardest, experiencing a staggering 24.6% decrease year-on-year. However, not all sectors fared poorly; steel production increased by 2.2% and cement production rose by 4% in March. Despite the monthly contraction, the cumulative performance for the fiscal year 2025-26 showed a modest growth of 2.6%. Aditi Nayar, chief economist at Icra Ltd, noted that the mixed performance indicates resilience in some sectors, although overall growth remains uneven. She anticipates that the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) growth will slow to between 1.0% and 2.0% in March 2026, down from 5.2% in February.
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The contraction in the core sector may lead to slower economic growth, affecting job creation and investment in infrastructure projects.
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